What would you do to make your home more energy efficient for $57,000?

A study out of the Government Accountability Office (GAO) reports:

As of 31 December 2009, according to data available to the Department of Energy, about 9,100 homes had been weatherized out of a planned 593,000

The pricetag for weatherizing 9,100 homes? Over $57,000 per home. 

According to the Home Energy Saver website, sponsored in part by the Department of Energy and Environmental Protection Agency, the average cost of the top 10 home energy upgrades is just $3,960, a difference of over $46,000 per home. 

Part of me doesn't care. According to Keynesian thinking, just spending stimulus money and fast, it doesn't matter how, is key to stoking the economy.  But there is part of me which envisions the thousands of additional homes which could have been weatherized had the government been more efficient in its spending. 

What The Christie Election Means For Green Building In New Jersey

On Tuesday, Chris Christie (R) was elected as Governor of New Jersey.  His predecessor, Jon Corzine (D), instituted a number of programs through the state's administrative agencies to promote sustainable practices and green building.  So, what does this change in administration mean for green building in New Jersey, a leader among states in promoting green practices? 

Christie campaigned hard on issues like "controlling spending" and lowering New Jersey property taxes. He also proposed:

  • Immediate freeze on proposed new agency rules and regulations.
  • Sunset provisions for all new programs after 4 years. 

This will mean that anything in the pipeline of the administrative agencies will be frozen, and new green programs will be automatically sunsetted.

Christie seems to be pro-renewable energy, campaigning that he will:

  • Renew NJ and the Choose New Jersey Energy Campaign. Consolidate all renewable energy manufacturing efforts and have New Jersey undergo a brand makeover to market and sell New Jersey’s resources to energy producers, innovators and developers.
  • Incentivize energy manufacturing with tax credits. 100% of the corporate business taxes or the insurance premium tax for any wind turbine and manufacturing facility that locates in New Jersey.
  • New Jersey will create higher-paying clean energy production jobs in the next four years. Commit to a 5/1 ratio of higher-paying, clean energy production jobs to lower paying, efficiency jobs. While New Jersey has one of the strongest renewable portfolio standards in the country, according to the US Energy Information Administration, the state actually ranks 43rd when it comes to generating renewable energy. 

The most interesting of these is "Commit to a 5/1 ratio of higher-paying, clean energy production jobs to lower paying, efficiency jobs." 

It is energy efficiency jobs which are predominantly blue collar, easy entry to work jobs.  And according to a recent McKinsey study, the economic and job vaue of energy efficiency has huge potential:

[B]etween 2009 and 2020, energy efficiency retrofits could generate between 500,000 and 750,000 direct, indirect and induced jobs through 2020.

Moreover, the low hanging fruit for energy savings and environmental stewardship--not to mention social equity--comes from energy efficiency, not renewable energy. According to the CleanTechies blog:

 A study done by a Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory scientist claimed that commissioning all of the nation’s commercial buildings would yield the greatest energy savings per dollar spent of any option, including wind and solar energy production. Commissioning involves fine tuning a building’s existing energy systems to improve performance and eliminate wasteful energy use.

 Hopefully, a candidate who campaigned on the concept of fiscal responsibility will realize the value of investment in energy efficiency programs before putting all of New Jersey's eggs in the renewable energy incentive basket.  Stay tuned...

Boxer Climate Bill Redraft Adds Nothing To Energy Efficient Building Code Provisions

On Friday, Senator Barbara Boxer released a 923-page climate change and energy bill.  A draft of the bill had been leaked to the media in late September, and I discussed it here

Although the overall bill has swelled from 600+ pages to 900+ pages, there is still just 1.5 pages on the National Energy Efficiency Building Code, first proposed as Section 201of the Waxman-Markey Bill.  In the Waxman-Markey Bill, the House called for: 

1. Establishing a “national energy efficiency building code” for residential and commercial buildings, sufficient to meet each of the national building code energy efficiency targets.

2. Setting energy efficiency targets for the national building code: “on the date of enactment of the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009, 30 percent reduction in energy use relative to a comparable building constructed in compliance with the baseline code…effective January 1, 2014, for residential buildings, and January 1, 2015, for commercial buildings, 50 percent reduction in energy use relative to the baseline code; and…January 1, 2017, for residential buildings, and January 1, 2018, for commercial buildings, and every 3 years thereafter, respectively, through January 1, 2029, and January 1, 2030, 5 percent additional reduction in energy use relative to the baseline code.”

3. If consensus based codes provides for greater reduction in energy use than is required under the ACESA, the overall percentage reduction in energy use provided by that successor code shall be the national building code energy efficiency target.

4. Requiring that states and local governments comply with or exceed the national energy efficiency building code, and providing for enforcement mechanisms for states which are out of compliance.

The original Boxer-Kerry draft backed off of the Waxman-Markey structure entirely, simply mandating that the Department of Energy or "other agency head or heads as may be designated by the President shall promulgate regulations establishing building code energy efficiency targets...beginnning not later than January 1, 2014... "

The exact same language is mirrored in the current version of the Senate Bill at Section 163 (starting at page 200 of the current bill).  No structure, no mandatory energy efficiency targets, no requirments that states adopt energy efficiency codes by a certain date.  

This is a fascinating development because of the vast energy savings possible through regulation of new buildings and retrofits of old buildings.  According to a study by McKinsey on energy efficiency,

by 2020, the United States could reduce annual energy consumption by 23 percent from a business-as-usual projection by deploying an array of...efficiency measures, saving 9.1 quadrillion BTUs of end use energy...

The majority of the 900 page bill is dedicated to defining and establishing a cap-and-trade program.  While a worthy goal, I think that the Boxer bill misses the opportunity to grasp low-hanging fruit in energy savings through energy efficient building requirements.

 

Boxer-Kerry Punts On National Energy Efficiency Building Code

Yesterday, a draft of the Boxer-Kerry senate version of the Waxman-Markey climate change bill was leaked to the media. I have previously posted about the proposed National Energy Efficiency Code in the Waxman-Markey bill and in the first proposed senate bill ACELA

Both of those proposed Energy Efficiency Codes had specific energy efficiency targets, timelines, adoption and implementation plans, and enforcement, though they differed somewhat in the specifics. Not so the Boxer-Kerry Bill.  What had been pages of turgid regulatory prose in the prior two bills has been condensed to a mere page and a half--Section 174, starting on page 113 of the draft bill for those of you following at home. 

The most interesting part is that all specifics have disappeared.  No mandated energy efficiency savings, no specifics for implementation timeline, no enforcement, nothing.  Just a mandate that the Department of Energy or "other agency head or heads as may be designated by the President" 

shall promulgate regulations establishing building code energy efficiency targets...beginnning not later than January 1, 2014... 

There is also a section requiring the suitable administrator to "promulgate regulations establishing national energy efficiency building codes."  The entire specifics of the regulations are as follows:

Such regulations shall be sufficient to meet the national building code energy efficiency targets...in the most cost-effective manner, and may include provisions for State adoption of the national building code standards and certification of State programs.

Many have argued that the Waxman-Markey and ACELA bills went too far--making the energy efficiency requirements too high, and requiring to fast an implementation timeline.  I would argue that the Boxer-Kerry draft does not go far enough--it simply does not provide the stick required to urge rapid development and adoption of a national energy efficiency code.  It also leaves a lot of room for further politicking at the administrative agency level.  What do you think?

 

Valuing Green--CBRE Makes The Financial Case For Building Green

CB Richard Ellis, the worldwide behemoth of real estate services, issued a report which addresses "the economics of sustainable buildings." Their conclusion? Basic level of certification adds between 2-3% to the cost, higher levels of accredidation add 5-7% of construction costs.  This is fairly in line with other cost estimates which have been issued.  However, there were some other interesting conclusions from the report:

  • Although developers will reap some rewards in terms of higher rents and enjoy higher rates of rental growth,the rates of rent additionality is about the same as the excess development costs (2-6%), so the additional rental value is essentially a wash.
  • Improvements in energy savings can be between 10-50%, a major number. 
  • Residential customers will pay some premium for green, but not necessarily the actual cost of the green improvements
  • Extra value will need to accrue from the investment markets for the lower risks and higher valuations of green buildings.

How should this study effect decisions making at the policy and business level?

  • The potential market benefits from greening buildings have not solidified--this means that incentives can still be powerful tools to motivate green projects.  The incentive may be the tipping point.
  • Energy savings, and measurement of the realization of energy savings, is an important factor in "pencilling out" green improvements.  From a policy perspective, this puts even more value on reporting and disclosure of building performance measures.
  • Policy measures need to be different for commercial and residential sectors to motivate green.  There may need to be different levels of incentives applied to motivate different segments.

The Dangers Of Energy Myopia

My new friend Timothy Hughes over at Virginia Land Use & Construction Law Blog had a nice piece highlighting the flaws in the New York Times analysis of the Nathaniel R. Jones Federal Building and US Courthouse (Youngstown, OH) which it used as a primary example of LEED buildings failing to live up to their green claims.  Most interesting in his expose was the fact that the Jones Federal Building did not purport to have energy efficiency as its primary goal:

 A review of the GSA study on its website reveals a few interesting facts that the Times left out of the article:

The GSA study was of 14 first wave green GSA buildings ; 8 were LEED certified, 2 were LEED registered, one used Green Building Challenge, and three were designed with an emphasis on energy efficiency
The Federal Building project did not seek any credits for energy efficiency under EA Credit 1. Similarly, the project did not seek points for additional commissioning, measurement and verification, or green power
While the Federal Building project did not receive the 75 score required to qualify for Energy Star, it did in fact reach a 58 despite the fact the building did not even try for the energy efficiency credits. Every other GSA project contained in the study qualified for Energy Star
 

I perceive this as an example of Energy Myopia, which we have seen in recent green building regulation, particularly the Waxman-Markey Bill.  Section 201 of the Waxman-Markey bill calls for an energy efficient building code, as described in greater detail here. It does not, by definition, address water efficiency, site selection, indoor air quality, or materials usage, the other components which most green building rating systems, particularly LEED, encompass.

Why is this? There are a few factors at play.

First, energy efficiency is important.  With carbon emissions causing global warming, and coal fired power plants producing lots of carbon emissions, reducing energy use is critical.  However, with global warming, many are arguing that water efficiency is at least as paramount.  Moreover, saving water through reduced use literally makes more water available for other uses--it is a direct resource saving, in a way that the impact of building energy savings is not. 

The second reason that energy has been the focus is the same reason people rob banks--because that's where the money is.  As I wrote earlier here, of the entire ARRA allocation of $60 billion for "green" programs, the EPA was allocated exactly $0 for green building, and a measley $7 billion over all.  By contrast, the DOE was allocated $32.7 billion, with $5 billion for weatherization alone.

Third, energy savings is comparatively easy to measure. How do you measure the environmental savings of selecting an urban infill site instead of a suburban greenfield? In vehicle miles saved? Runoff averted? Stream quality? It is easier for proponents of green buildings and critics alike to use energy savings as a proxy for environmental friendliness. 

It is critical for green building regulations to encompass the mulit-faceted environmental impacts of the built environment, and to look holistically at the environmental impacts of so-called "green buildings." 

Later this week...Why Holistic Green Building Regulation Is Hard And What To Do About It.

Listening To Retail: ICSC's Take On Energy Efficiency

In an earlier post, I criticized the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) for a letter sent to their members critical of the National Energy Efficiency Code provisions (Section 201) of the Waxman-Markey Bill (a summary of those provisions is available here). 

Yesterday,  I had the opportunity to speak to Kent Jeffreys, Staff Vice President in the Office of Global Public Policy of ICSC about their position on Waxman-Markey and the future of retail energy efficiency. Here are selections from our conversation:

GBLB: You were critical of the Waxman-Markey National Energy Efficiency Code proposal.  Why? 

KJ: One of the problems with the overall bill is that it is one size fits all when it comes to energy efficiency. For example, how do you measure the energy efficiency of a mixed use facility? Different code standards apply, and energy consumption is determined by tenant mix—a Best Buy and grocery store are different from a yoga studio and a shoe store. Waxman-Markey's adherence to the measuring stick being the building creates problems for shopping centers.

The bottom line is that the commercial building sector would like to see the same consideration that the utilities had—their deadlines were pushed off until 2020. There are a few facts that stand in the way of rapid adoption of a stringent new code. For example, many states don’t have energy codes at all. Other states have adopted different levels of ASHRAE. Waxman Markey refers to 2004 as the baseline. Then it says exceed 30% by 2010—which is tomorrow when it comes to new building construction. It is aggressive. We think it will be be problematic.

There are ways to achieve it. Talking to the technical folks, some are already exceeding ASHRAE by 20% or more. This requires certain design changes. If you start taking out windows, you can add more insulation. Most folks can move forward at 30%, we just don’t think they can do it by 2010. It is a bit unrealistic.

That is why we encouraged our members to talk to their members of congress about how they are increasing the energy efficiency. In the real world, we cannot make them all adopt cutting edge technology. The real world problems that we run into—if they have not been totally focused on energy efficiency, they are going to get a rude awakening if the bill passes in its current form.

The second step in the Waxmna-Markey Section 201, 50% by 2015, we actually don’t know how to do. You would have to change what ASHRAE addresses in order to calculate 50%, including operations, for example. 2015 is actually not that far away. At the very end, the coal burning utilities pushed their deadlines back by arguing technologically and economically that they couldn’t meet it.

These goals were picked in terms of political effectiveness, not technological. In the House, they were unwilling to even talk to us. Therefore, we couldn’t support the overall bill.

GBLB: What efforts did you make to try to work out these issues?

KJ: I went and met with people with folks from Wal-Mart, Target, developers, and let the staffers ask questions. The letter we sent out to our members was intended to inform about the fact that this will change the way they do business. Member of congress don’t know how this will impact their local communities. If you make it impossible for retailers to keep up with the times, in some communities it means jobs are not created, new projects and major renovations will not happen. I don’t really know the ramifications for the nation, but right now, no one is building anything because you can’t borrow money. We did not conduct a study to figure out how much 30-50% energy efficiency would cost—NAIOP figured out it would take 20 year payback. Then you have to figure out how you are financing it. We want members of congress to consider this. Right or wrong, the members of congress did take into consideration the cost for utilities.

There are things we support in the bill, like the REEP program. We tried to make this program more comprehensive.

GBLB: How would you suggest regulating your industry to create more energy efficiency?

KJ: The 40% “responsible” for GHG emissions by buildings—there is an underlying assumption that reduction by buildings lead to a 1 to 1 reduction of emissions. Direct emissions from commercial buildings is more like 4% than 40%. The initial responsibility means that we should be able reduce emissions by that much which is not realistic.

Until we address the generation issue—buildings are not the source of emissions—focusing on buildings is a false hope. If you look at California, the typical shopping center is more energy efficient, because of that experience, developers are adopting those procedures nationwide. But it’s going to take time. If 201 goes into effect, there will be no effect on overall GHG emissions. It will be swamped by other factors.

We would be happy to work with congress on a natioanl net metering standard, there is a patchwork of regulations right now. This would have very direct impact on reducing energy use—if there were economic incentives.

GBLB: What about the part of your letter which criticizes Waxman-Markey on the basis of creating additional code bureaucracy--"there is no trained inspection force to oversee a national building code, so it will require the federal government to retrain state employees and, no doubt, hire a huge number of new inspectors"? 

KJ: I think it is a critical flaw that congress passes a law and leave it to the states to implement. The states are strangled—they can’t run deficit spending. I don’t think that the federal government’s grant to the states for training and enforcement is sufficient. If the federal government thinks that the states will be able to enforce this code by 2010, with this amount of funding, they are sadly mistaken. Some states are really good and others are incompetent. You can’t say it is an anti-government notion—you have got to provide the resources to the states to get this done. The answer is for Congress to slow down and reconsider what it has done, or if you are going to pass the bill as written, give the states more money.

What if the states think implementing energy efficiency evaluation is too hard? Then they may say everybody passes and you get no increase in energy efficiency.  You need standards which are realistic and can be enforced and implemented by the public. 
 

How Is The USGBC like Google?

Over the past couple of weeks, the USGBC announced that it was incorporating energy and water usage reporting requirements as a precondition for acheiving LEED v3 and Google announced that it will debut a cloud-based operating system some time in the next 18 months.  The answer to how these two entities are similar is simple: both entities announced good ideas perhaps before their time.

Let's take a closer look at the reporting requirements for LEEDv3.  Projects can comply with the performance requirement in one of three ways:

1.  The building is recertified on a two-year cycle using LEED for Existing Buildings: Operations & Maintenance.
2.  The building provides energy and water usage data on an on-going basis annually.
3.  The building owner signs a release that authorizes USGBC to access the building’s energy and water usage data directly from the building’s utility provider.

Currently, accessing energy and water usage data can be very difficult, particularly without submetering.  In addition, I would expect that public utilities would be loathe to turn over water and energy usage data to a third party. Finally, the turnover of operations in buildings from owner to management company and in some cases to the tenants will create layers of reporting and data gathering issues which are intense.  For example, a building is submetered to tenants.  What if one tenant chooses to report, and another does not? 

The reporting issues go beyond the merely logistical.  Ongoing reporting and monitoring by the USGBC will create a new body of work for an institution which has already come under fire due to backlogs in certification.   Not only will the USGBC's new certifying sister agency have to certify new projects, but monitor old ones ad infinitim.  It will create additional issues for states and municipalities which have incorporated LEED standards into their green building regulations and incentives.  What happens to a 10 year property tax abatement if the project loses its LEED certification after 2 years due to failed energy savings? Additionally, as Chris Cheatham points out, there are new legal liability issues which emerge, like risks of suit to architects and engineers. 

All this is not to say that the USGBC should not incorporate ongoing energy reporting into the LEED process.  Like Chrome OS, the idea is a good one.  I believe that a green building that does not perform should not be allowed to continue to benefit from the LEED moniker.  There are a few things which could make it work better:

1. Create differrent levels of certification as time elapses--LEED at construction, different from LEED at 5 [years] or LEED at 10 [years], which reflects the ongoing achievement of green goals.  This eliminates the issue of "decertification", while providing ongoing incentive to report and maintain buildings to the LEED standard.

2. Phase it in--This ensures that the reporting requirements can be complied with, and allows utilities and others to come to grips with the concept of releasing to third parties energy data.  As it stands, projects registering for certification now must comply. 

How can you envision the reporting requirements working more effectively? 

The Importance of Aligning Intent With Outcome

In today's News-Tribune of Tacoma, Washington (admittedly not on my usual roundup of morning papers) there was anop-ed piece by a conservative columnist calling for Washington (state) to roll back "green" requirements for schools because they are not creating the energy savings promised when enacted. 

The 2005 law calls for schools to be designed, constructed and certified to LEED Silver standard.  At the time, the Governor Gregoire's press release stated:

According to the State Board of Education and Superintendent of Public Instruction’s office, use of sustainable building designs result in:

  • 20% annual savings in energy costs

  • 20% reduction in water costs

  • 38% in waste water production

  • 22% reduction in construction waste

  • A potential reduction in student absenteeism

  • A potential 5% decrease in teacher turnover rates

  • A potential 5% to 26% improvements in standardized test scores

In an ideal world, meeting LEED Silver standards would result in the predicted energy, water and other efficiencies.  But that is not always the case.  Many factors contribute to efficiency, including construction, operations and maintenance. Further, measurement and verification of energy usage is more art than science--which schools are being compared? by what methodology? Finally, what are the overall environmental implications of the building--were fewer new resources used, for example?

 Many municpalities and companies are using LEED as a shorthand for high performance building to circumvent the difficulties of determining individual targets for resource efficiency and creating long term verification plans. This is shortsighted.  By creating laws which use LEED as a substitute for rigorous environmental standards, well-intentioned municpalities and companies open themselves up to the criticism of the News-Tribune critic--that we shouldn't implement (or we should rescind) green building laws because they don't create environmental efficiency. 

Obama Stimulus Plan and The Rule of The First Dollar

I look at a lot of green building regulations, and I have devised the rule of the first dollar--regulators should be putting the first dollar of tax payer money into the most cost-effective initiative, to ensure that those initiatives that have the greatest cost-benefit calculus get funded first and most robustly. 

This week Obama has come out with some of the details of his green financial stimulus plan. In Obama's speech yesterday, as well as in his Obama/Biden plan unveilied during the campaign, he proposed

  • modernizing more than 75% of federal buildings
  • improving the energy efficiency of two million American homes

He also outlined the benefits of these programs

[S]aving consumers and taxpayers billions on our energy bills.  In the process, we will put Americans to work in new jobs that pay well and can’t be outsourced – jobs building solar panels and wind turbines; constructing fuel-efficient cars and buildings; and developing the new energy technologies that will lead to even more jobs, more savings, and a cleaner, safer planet in the bargain. 

Energy efficiency efforts work with the rule of the first dollar--according to Energy Star estimates,

Compared with standard homes, ENERGY STAR qualified homes use substantially less energy for heating, cooling, and water heating-delivering $200 to $400 in annual savings. Over the average 7 to 8 years you may live in your home, this adds up to thousands of dollars saved on utility bills.

In this study, the RAND Corporation analyzed California's energy efficiency initiatives and concluded that

In California, improvements in residential energy intensity and energy prices have reduced the average energy expenditures per capita in real terms since 1980...Low-income households derive the greatest benefit from reduced energy expenditures.

RAND also noted

The most important benefit for California is the impact of energy efficiency improvements on air pollution emissions. If energy intensity in the state had remained at 1975 levels, air emissions from stationary sources in the state would be approximately 50 percent greater than current levels.

Energy efficiency measures equalled savings and environmental benefits.

The analysis with respect to greening federal buildings is similar.  According to the Alliance to Save Energy

The federal government is the nation’s single largest energy consumer and energy waster. In 2005, the federal government consumed about 1.6 quadrillion Btu (quads) of energy at a cost of $14.5 billion. This is 1.6% of all energy used in the U.S. American taxpayers pay about $4 billion annually just to heat, cool, and power the 500,000 federal buildings and facilities.

So, each dollar saved on energy on  public buildings is a taxpayer dollar saved, and a reduction in the quantity of resources requried to heat, cool, and power those facilities.

The analysis on the tax cuts, however, is not as sanguine.  According to Nobel-Prize winning economist Paul Krugman

First, if the government spends money, that money is spent, helping support demand, whereas tax cuts may be largely saved. So public investment offers more bang for the buck. Second, public investment leaves something of value behind when the stimulus is over.   

Krugman argues that tax cuts in the first year may be beneficial in providing a quick hit to the economy, whereas public works projects take time to get started, but Obama's proposal of 40% tax cuts seems like too much. Obama can see similar upfront benefits from providing food stamps and unemployment benefits, for example.  Alternatively, he could provide vouchers for energy efficiency improvements through private vendors. 

In short, green is green, tax cuts not so much.

Tiny Rays Of Light--Good News For Green Building

Over my first few cups of coffee this morning, I had an odd sensation.  What could it be? That slightly warm feeling eminating from my heart--oh, now I remember, hope! That's what it is.  Not a lot of hope (although as I write this the dow is up 133 points), but certainly a few rays...

1. Industry organizations and utilities are embracing energy efficiency measures, including enhancing building code requirements.  According to Greenerbuildings.com

Environmental and energy groups, including the association that represents almost 70 percent of the country's utilities, are urging swift passage of a stimulus package that includes provisions for energy efficiency programs that they say would help jumpstart an economic recovery through the creation of green jobs.

Most significant from a green building law perspective, is that these groups are advocating for block grants to state and local governments to "be contingent on adoption of regulatory changes that make building codes tougher — and "major investments" in energy efficiency projects by utilities easier. "

2. As I predicted in my post Pink is the New Green, energy efficiency is at the top of the legislative agenda. It is being incorporated into the stimulus package, and local municipalities are embracing it as well.  Washington DC updated its building codes to ASHRAE 90.1 2007 and included some new green provisions. 

3.  The Bicycle Commuter Act passed--A benefit originally proposed seven years ago by .S. Rep. Earl Blumenauer, D-Ore. provides $20/month to those who commute primarily by bicycle.

Of course, we are still waiting to see what the green provisions of the economic stimulus package will be, but these actions are very positive signs of change in our national zeitgeist.